Dutch Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda
Mar 21, 2026, 8:00 PM
Model
Factor breakdown
Lean: PEC Zwolle. Drivers: recent goals conceded, home advantage, table position.
Home advantage
Venue familiarity and home support add a baseline edge.
Away disadvantage
Away travel burden tilts toward the home side.
Last 5 form
Last 5 form looks balanced, which supports a tighter game.
Last 10 form
Last 10 form looks balanced, which supports a tighter game.
Recent goals scored
Recent goals scored tilts toward the away side.
Recent goals conceded
Defensive resistance tilts toward the home side.
Clean sheet rate
Clean sheet rate looks balanced, which supports a tighter game.
BTTS tendency
Lower BTTS lean slightly reduces draw risk.
Table position
Table position tilts toward the away side.
Points gap
Points gap tilts toward the home side.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head context is unavailable.
Recent home form
Recent home versus away form is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.
Recent away form
Away resilience is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.
Rest days
Rest days tilts toward the home side.
Fixture congestion
Fixture congestion tilts toward the home side.
Injuries
Injury pressure is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.
Suspensions
Suspension impact is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.
Squad depth
Squad depth is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.
Motivation pressure
Motivation is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.
Managerial stability or bounce
Managerial context is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.
Goal difference trend
Goal difference trend is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.
Attack trend
Attack trend tilts toward the away side.
Market sanity check
Market reference is unavailable, so no sanity check is applied.
Derby or rivalry intensity
Rivalry context is unavailable.
Travel burden heuristic
Travel burden tilts toward the home side.
End-of-season intensity
Season-intensity context is unavailable.
Rotation risk
Rotation risk is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.
Notes
Match notes
Edge
Lean: PEC Zwolle. Drivers: recent goals conceded, home advantage, table position.
Risk
Missing inputs: injuries, suspensions, lineups, odds.