Sportssports.iderwell.com
ESPN live datav0.6.0

Spanish LALIGA

Celta Vigo vs Alavés

Mar 22, 2026, 3:15 PM

HOME WININCORRECTFINISHED
Confidence77%
Result3-4
VenueBalaidos
RoundFixture

Model

Factor breakdown

Lean: Celta Vigo. Drivers: recent goals conceded, home advantage, table position.

Home advantage

Weight 0.70

Venue familiarity and home support add a baseline edge.

Away disadvantage

Weight 0.35

Away travel burden tilts toward the home side.

Last 5 form

Weight 0.90

Last 5 form tilts toward the home side.

Last 10 form

Weight 0.65

Last 10 form tilts toward the home side.

Recent goals scored

Weight 0.60

Recent goals scored tilts toward the home side.

Recent goals conceded

Weight 0.55

Defensive resistance tilts toward the home side.

Clean sheet rate

Weight 0.35

Clean sheet rate is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.

BTTS tendency

Weight 0.15

Both teams have recent BTTS lean, which slightly supports an open match and draw risk.

Table position

Weight 0.45

Table position tilts toward the away side.

Points gap

Weight 0.45

Points gap tilts toward the home side.

Head-to-head

Weight 0.20

Head-to-head context is unavailable.

Recent home form

Weight 0.50

Recent home versus away form is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.

Recent away form

Weight 0.35

Away resilience is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.

Rest days

Weight 0.25

Rest days tilts toward the away side.

Fixture congestion

Weight 0.25

Fixture congestion tilts toward the away side.

Injuries

Weight 0.30

Injury pressure is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.

Suspensions

Weight 0.20

Suspension impact is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.

Squad depth

Weight 0.30

Squad depth is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.

Motivation pressure

Weight 0.25

Motivation is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.

Managerial stability or bounce

Weight 0.15

Managerial context is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.

Goal difference trend

Weight 0.20

Goal difference trend tilts toward the home side.

Attack trend

Weight 0.25

Attack trend tilts toward the home side.

Market sanity check

Weight 0.20

Market reference is unavailable, so no sanity check is applied.

Derby or rivalry intensity

Weight 0.15

Rivalry context is unavailable.

Travel burden heuristic

Weight 0.18

Travel burden tilts toward the home side.

End-of-season intensity

Weight 0.10

Season-intensity context is unavailable.

Rotation risk

Weight 0.18

Rotation risk is unavailable, so confidence is reduced instead of assumed.

Notes

Match notes

Edge

Lean: Celta Vigo. Drivers: recent goals conceded, home advantage, table position.

Risk

Missing inputs: injuries, suspensions, lineups, odds.

Predictions on this site are informational only. Football matches remain uncertain, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Celta Vigo vs Alavés prediction | Sports